Wed 1 Aug 2007
Jim Cramer is nothing, if not attention getting. Here are two different videos from Jim on the subprime situation that are quite interesting… I have presented them in chronological order for effect.
Now there are at least two different ways to react to this… the first is to point fingers and ridicule Cramer for having such short sighted opinions in the first interview (and in the second for saying things like “walk away from your house so you don’t lose your credit card”). The second way to react would be to quote John Maynard Keynes’s famous line, “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?”
The more important one is a third response — realizing that, despite all the clown-like behavior, Cramer is in tune with the decision makers in the money centers on Wall Street. Only a few months ago almost everyone thought that subprime was contained, and that tranching up the subrpime loans made it safe and dispersed the risk far and wide.
The market slap-down that occurred last week is part of the process of many of these people coming to grips with reality. If Cramer is right on how dire the subprime situation is, how long will it take wall street to reposition itself for this new reality? How many bumps, swoons, and slippages will need to occur? Do we need more hedge funds to fail before reality sets in? Does it change the outlook for “containment”?
Ok, I’ll take some combination of responses 1 and 3… we should definitely ask the questions, but also point fingers and make fun of Cramer as frequently as possible…
August 2nd, 2007 at 7:11 pm
From an ex-Cramer subscriber:
“He picked some great winners, but wiped out the gains with egregious losers that he kept chasing down. He would invariably throw in the towel, and some months later the stock would finally start to recover.”
And from CXO:
“We agree Jim Cramer gives advice on how to invest. Based on systematic analysis of his advice, we disagree that he is very good at it.”
Cracks me up! Perhaps the best way to respond is to fade Jim. When we wasn’t afraid, be afraid. When he panicks, buy.
August 4th, 2007 at 10:57 am
Oh my god, Cramer is out of control. He got absolutely hysterical on CNBC on Friday…
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=452808336&
The CNBC videos are horrible, but it’s worth it to watch this tirade.
Cramer has fallen victim to a pure fearful emotional response. He also shows the typical New York ego — his little corner of the world is the only thing that matters. When foreclosures were rising months ago, his comment was a calm, “containment”. But now that the ibanks and brokers are getting hurt by it and his buddies are going to “lose their jobs” and wall street bonuses are in peril? “SOMEBODY DO SOMETHING!”
August 4th, 2007 at 1:06 pm
Here’s the CNBC video on YouTube… much easier to watch (CNBC’s site wouldn’t play for me in Firefox).
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYPtCmdFCrc
Or this version with plenty of snarky commentary added:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pd5zAbDKZEg