Bond Yield and Federal Funds Rate Data
Input Data Values
10-Year Treasury Bond Yield (%)
3-Month Treasury Bond Yield (%)
Federal Funds Rate (%)

Probability of Recession in Next 12 Months
Calculated Results Values
Probability of Recession (%)




About the Calculator:
You can change the values for the rates and then click the "update probability" button to re-calculate based on the numbers you entered.

Note: Javascript code is from Political Calculations.
The delayed quotes for the bond rates are automatically downloaded from Yahoo! Finance every time the page is loaded.